{
 "license": "CC BY 4.0, credit DumpTrump.win",
 "updated": "2026-10-26",
 "items": [
  {
   "num": "$4.48",
   "unit": "a gallon of regular gas, May 5, 2026",
   "line": "Gas was under $3 a gallon at the start of 2026. Ten weeks into the Iran war it reached $4.48, and 2026 passed the previous record for days at $4 or more.",
   "kitchen": "Arithmetic, mine: a 15-gallon fill-up went from about $45 to about $67.",
   "source": "AAA national averages, reported by the AP and CNN",
   "slug": "oil-shock-gas-prices-iran-war",
   "uncertain": "Some of the increase came from refinery damage, low inventories and China holding back fuel exports, not Hormuz alone.",
   "short": "Gas was under $3 a gallon in January. Ten weeks into the Iran war it reached $4.48.",
   "story_url": "https://dumptrump.win/stories/oil-shock-gas-prices-iran-war/"
  },
  {
   "num": "$6.50",
   "unit": "a gallon of diesel, Oct. 20, 2026",
   "line": "Diesel was about 70 percent above its February price. Diesel is 70 percent of the fuel used in freight, construction and farming, so it is priced into groceries, building materials and every delivered package.",
   "kitchen": "Any item that arrives on a truck carries part of this.",
   "source": "J.P. Morgan, October 2026 analysis",
   "slug": "oil-shock-gas-prices-iran-war",
   "uncertain": "J.P. Morgan's $10 diesel figure elsewhere in the same analysis is a scenario, not a forecast.",
   "short": "Diesel was about 70 percent above its February price, and diesel is priced into every delivered good.",
   "story_url": "https://dumptrump.win/stories/oil-shock-gas-prices-iran-war/"
  },
  {
   "num": "$1,000+",
   "unit": "a year more for the same marketplace health plan",
   "line": "The enhanced premium tax credits expired on December 31, 2025. KFF found that keeping the same marketplace plan in 2026 would have cost 114 percent more, over $1,000 a year. Many people switched to cheaper plans; actual payments still rose 58 percent on average and deductibles 37 percent.",
   "kitchen": "Insurers raised their own charges 26 percent on average on top of the credit expiration.",
   "source": "KFF analysis of 2026 rate filings and enrollment data",
   "slug": "health-coverage-and-premiums",
   "uncertain": "The 26 percent is the average insurer charge, not what most enrollees pay; the 114 percent is a same-plan comparison.",
   "short": "Keeping the same marketplace plan in 2026 cost 114 percent more after the enhanced tax credits expired.",
   "story_url": "https://dumptrump.win/stories/health-coverage-and-premiums/"
  },
  {
   "num": "2.6 million",
   "unit": "fewer people paying for marketplace coverage in 2026",
   "line": "Effectuated marketplace enrollment fell from 21.8 million to 19.2 million between 2025 and 2026. The Congressional Budget Office projects the 2025 tax-and-spending law will leave 10 million more people uninsured by 2034, 7.5 million of them through Medicaid changes.",
   "kitchen": "The CBO figure is a projection to 2034 and CBO labels it as subject to considerable uncertainty.",
   "source": "KFF compilation of federal enrollment data; CBO estimate for Public Law 119-21",
   "slug": "health-coverage-and-premiums",
   "uncertain": "The 2026 decline cannot yet be attributed to the law alone; credit expiration, verification rules and insurer exits happened in the same period.",
   "short": "Marketplace enrollment fell from 21.8 million to 19.2 million; CBO projects 10 million more uninsured by 2034.",
   "story_url": "https://dumptrump.win/stories/health-coverage-and-premiums/"
  },
  {
   "num": "5.5 million",
   "unit": "fewer people getting food assistance in one year",
   "line": "SNAP participation fell from 41.6 million in July 2025 to 36.1 million in July 2026, a 13 percent drop. The Center on Budget and Policy Priorities estimates about 2 million of those are children.",
   "kitchen": "Participation fell in every state except Alaska; by 20 percent or more in Arizona, Florida, Illinois, Louisiana, Nebraska, Nevada and Oklahoma.",
   "source": "USDA monthly participation table (data as of Oct. 9, 2026); CBPP tracker",
   "slug": "snap-enrollment-decline",
   "uncertain": "USDA's table does not say why people left, so the split between ineligibility, finding work and paperwork is not knowable from it. The children figure is CBPP's estimate.",
   "story_url": "https://dumptrump.win/stories/snap-enrollment-decline/"
  },
  {
   "num": "$1.99 trillion",
   "unit": "federal deficit, fiscal year 2026",
   "line": "Treasury's year-end statement shows a $1,992 billion deficit, $217 billion more than fiscal 2025. Net interest on the debt rose $115 billion, or 11 percent, in one year. CBO estimates the 2025 tax law adds $4.1 trillion to deficits over ten years once interest is counted.",
   "kitchen": "Debt service is now the third-largest line in the federal budget, behind only Social Security and Medicare plus Medicaid combined.",
   "source": "Treasury Monthly Treasury Statement; CBO Monthly Budget Review; Reuters",
   "slug": "fiscal-year-2026-deficit",
   "uncertain": "The ten-year figures are estimates against a January 2025 baseline and exclude macroeconomic feedback; how much of the 2026 increase is the law versus interest rates or tariffs cannot be read from the totals.",
   "story_url": "https://dumptrump.win/stories/fiscal-year-2026-deficit/"
  },
  {
   "num": "$45.1 billion",
   "unit": "reported cost of the Iran war through Sept. 3, 2026",
   "line": "The Pentagon's figure reported to Congress, with an $87.6 billion supplemental requested on top. Twenty-one US service members have died. Congress has held zero votes authorizing the war and four directing it to end.",
   "kitchen": "The Strategic Petroleum Reserve, drawn down to fight prices, stood at about 283 million barrels on October 2, a 40-plus-year low.",
   "source": "Pentagon figure reported to Congress; CENTCOM; Congressional Research Service; J.P. Morgan (reserve level)",
   "slug": "iran-war-costs-and-defense-budget",
   "uncertain": "Cost tallies differ by cutoff date and by what is counted; a separate CENTCOM-based figure in another story on this site is $43.6 billion.",
   "story_url": "https://dumptrump.win/stories/iran-war-costs-and-defense-budget/"
  },
  {
   "num": "$750",
   "unit": "in federal income tax the president paid in each of 2016 and 2017",
   "line": "According to returns released by Congress. In 2025 he disclosed $1.4 billion in pre-tax crypto income, and Forbes estimates his net worth at $7 billion.",
   "kitchen": "A reader can set those three numbers next to the ones above and draw their own conclusion.",
   "source": "Tax returns released by the House Ways and Means Committee; 2025 federal financial disclosure; Forbes",
   "slug": "trump-irs-lawsuit-settlement",
   "uncertain": "The $1.4 billion is reported income before taxes and expenses; the Forbes figure is an estimate that moved between $7 billion and $6.6 billion within weeks.",
   "story_url": "https://dumptrump.win/stories/trump-irs-lawsuit-settlement/"
  }
 ]
}